Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 242.288096 272.757769 306.498837 346.796618 393.827254 447.235698 512.837829
2025-04-27 202.819972 244.627502 295.091820 361.188969 446.515747 554.395894 703.449792
2025-05-04 175.700323 221.583118 280.189190 361.887621 475.029370 629.571956 862.745214
2025-05-11 153.019533 199.506214 261.468620 352.088412 484.712775 677.514962 990.479878
2025-05-18 136.410926 182.818281 246.915186 344.550185 494.428814 724.629854 1123.869780
2025-05-25 128.317486 176.612160 245.667974 355.175765 531.547186 818.150884 1351.021395
2025-06-01 118.741395 167.063704 238.178075 354.839332 550.611671 884.767823 1545.863066
2025-06-08 109.195640 156.521605 227.900823 348.470756 558.199162 932.150564 1714.876494
2025-06-15 102.596038 149.761690 222.635153 349.353804 577.877717 1003.907981 1949.586868
2025-06-22 95.039124 140.825167 212.993022 341.565913 580.617851 1043.637555 2125.620568
2025-06-29 89.555378 134.701927 207.301980 339.862336 594.149530 1106.606005 2370.997689
2025-07-06 82.361750 125.264772 195.293453 325.537062 581.360806 1112.826588 2480.890117
2025-07-13 80.176369 123.991265 197.135095 337.040118 622.016293 1242.755197 2951.902783
2025-07-20 78.494663 123.425047 200.140641 351.101568 670.277253 1400.693897 3561.866103
2025-07-27 74.919438 119.329629 196.498446 351.773406 689.937623 1495.249336 4023.878282
2025-08-03 70.230931 112.967585 188.233743 342.309588 685.697032 1529.550111 4308.857154
2025-08-10 66.250348 107.597110 181.384640 335.027891 685.424031 1574.212743 4648.514479
2025-08-17 64.860268 106.754391 182.904606 345.291513 727.868796 1743.305143 5516.582124
2025-08-24 62.260167 103.535642 179.636704 344.966578 744.595584 1844.465781 6178.311573
2025-08-31 59.177634 99.239074 173.966223 338.815200 745.846461 1900.692263 6685.120390
2025-09-07 57.107707 96.701335 171.558620 339.668186 765.255443 2017.215750 7528.975274
2025-09-14 54.282342 92.578575 165.710452 332.144825 761.475893 2059.612395 8049.864436
2025-09-21 52.257026 89.868920 162.534096 330.498931 773.462097 2157.294399 8917.401611